Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.494215 1.571402 1.650997 1.739352 1.834860 1.935176 2.048752
2026-02-08 1.319134 1.425993 1.540791 1.673864 1.824606 1.990926 2.189511
2026-02-15 1.211226 1.336873 1.476150 1.643178 1.839645 2.065430 2.347529
2026-02-22 1.140688 1.280507 1.439531 1.635743 1.874098 2.157972 2.527430
2026-03-01 1.075908 1.224287 1.396593 1.614218 1.885808 2.219262 2.669006
2026-03-08 1.002037 1.151872 1.328616 1.555865 1.845443 2.209606 2.715038
2026-03-15 0.962894 1.118423 1.304859 1.549050 1.867126 2.277493 2.865071
2026-03-22 0.951558 1.117694 1.320349 1.591238 1.952816 2.433010 3.145745
2026-03-29 0.923704 1.094565 1.305880 1.592975 1.983846 2.515458 3.328703
2026-04-05 0.902070 1.077975 1.298435 1.602726 2.025152 2.613491 3.541548
2026-04-12 0.876038 1.054416 1.280530 1.596916 2.043664 2.679099 3.709521
2026-04-19 0.845195 1.023297 1.251183 1.573675 2.035566 2.704326 3.814828
2026-04-26 0.809473 0.986225 1.214659 1.541897 2.017894 2.720696 3.919071
2026-05-03 0.769615 0.942584 1.168008 1.494271 1.975121 2.697106 3.956930
2026-05-10 0.741181 0.913154 1.139421 1.470772 1.966570 2.725702 4.086987
2026-05-17 0.721105 0.894128 1.124134 1.465314 1.984413 2.796764 4.299342
2026-05-24 0.698171 0.870327 1.101162 1.447296 1.981463 2.833248 4.452099
2026-05-31 0.666191 0.833114 1.058091 1.397646 1.926188 2.778738 4.426499
2026-06-07 0.650359 0.817612 1.044971 1.391861 1.939664 2.840612 4.632800
2026-06-14 0.648629 0.821497 1.059342 1.427867 2.022016 3.027221 5.114314
2026-06-21 0.636470 0.810297 1.051504 1.429351 2.047652 3.115472 5.404354
2026-06-28 0.626996 0.802537 1.048280 1.437662 2.084894 3.227495 5.763055
2026-07-05 0.614223 0.789654 1.037027 1.432712 2.099058 3.297374 6.036912